Automobile industry, as we know it, is about to be disrupted

Automobile, or car as we commonly call it, has been around for more than a century even if we ignore all the other forms that appeared before the Model T. Over these years, from manufacturing processes to in-car entertainment to driver aids, a lot has gone under the hood, quite literally, and yet, the basic formula continues to be the same. Clearly, something has to change.


Before I even comment on that, I would like to clarify that I am a big fan of how some flammable substance goes into a metal casing and then explodes repeatedly to produce power and move the car. Petrol, diesel, electric, hybrid, fuel cell, steam, coal or CNG is not the topic of discussion today. In this story, we are looking at how the automobile industry, not the automobile, will evolve over the coming years.

Disruption is a word thrown around often. However, Kodak is the poster child whenever we say the word. Kodak is often termed as myopic for being slow to adapt to advancements in photography and when they finally did, they didn’t look beyond the printing business. Some rocks get eroded like that, some get streamlined.

You know what General Motors, Toyota, Ford, Honda, and BMW have in common? They are all investing into companies that could do some serious damage to their business. The objective? Adapting to the change. They don’t want to be on the losing side when the dominos start to fall. And fall they would.

Until a few years back, it was hard to imagine the words ‘automobile’ and ‘startup’ being used in a single sentence. It was, and continues to be an industry dominated by the likes of VW and Toyota. However, with access economy gaining traction, car ownership is a declining trend. Startups are taking the lead and people are looking at on-demand services to fulfill their need of vehicle transportation.

The signs have started to show, not only in the west but in India too. People are putting off purchases of additional vehicles in favour of on-demand services like Uber and Zoomcar. The aforementioned startups are usually the ones contributing towards car sharing in one way or the other. And just in case you have your doubts, $6 billion were invested in automotive startups in last financial year, most of them coming from car companies. I am certain they know things better than you and I.

To save themselves from being disrupted out of existence, instead of fighting the decline in car ownership, the giants are either working with car sharing companies or spinning off separate business entities to achieve the same. Volvo recently announced new car models that can use digital keys controlled by mobile phones so that the keys can be virtually shared. This is being leveraged by their own portfolio company Sunfleet and a pilot program is already underway.

Other companies are dipping their toes in this segment in their own ways. Peugeot has invested in TravelerCar, a company that allows travellers to leave their cars at airports and earn by sharing it with other travellers while they are out of town. Toyota is an investor in Uber while GM is an investor in its rival Lyft.

The sharing trend will be fuelled even further by the entry of driverless cars. Car companies might not like it but if tech companies like Google, Apple and Tesla won’t back off, the auto giants can’t afford to. Which is why, beyond sharing companies, car companies are also associating with startups developing driverless tech to make quick progress. The biggest acquisitions aren’t being made by tech companies anymore. They are being made by the traditional players jumping on the trends. By the time driverless cars arrive, each car company will have one or the other sharing service in the portfolio and then we will see the battle for providing services rather than products.

Media and advertising industry will also see a boom due to the changes that will be seen in the automobile industry. As your commute to work turns from a frustrating drive to leisure time, the companies will look at making the most out of it as an advertising opportunity. Along with car companies, insurance, real estate and airline industry will be caught in the crosswinds. As for the enthusiasts, the cars with steering wheels are also getting brimmed with tech in the meantime. So you can sit back and wait for the improved version of P1.

6 replies on “Automobile industry, as we know it, is about to be disrupted”

With UBER I think you will see the major disruption or use of the service in the Metropolitan areas their success in urban areas won’t be as much. As far as electric cars the infrastructure for their support isn’t in place yet and won’t be for years so I think the conventional cars will be around for a little while longer than expected

Uber will be affected if other companies are able to bring in driverless cars before them. At this point, they are on the top because of the network of drivers they have. Of course it won’t happen anytime soon but if a company is able to bring in full autonomy before Uber, it won’t be long before Uber loses its advantage.

Even before that, ownership is on decline and more people are opting for short and long term rentals. As people realise that they don’t need another car just to drive out on weekends, they are choosing to use these services.

And about electric, I don’t think electric cars, as they are now are the future. There are far too many challenges that need to be addressed. I have tried to highlight them in another post

I agree with you Akshay Sharma…..except with autonomy of vehicles…..more than likely because i like driveing and how it makes me feel

Autonomy will replace the commercial services first and then the vehicles of people who don’t like driving and use cars just to move from A to B. Driving would very much continue to be a thing, only it would be limited to a specific set of people, the enthusiasts, maybe like how horse riding is now.

Mabe but i’m sure there will be a global disruption (War or Natural) that will disrupt any technological advances that we are planning for. You see (my point of view) we don’t learn from history and our civilization or society is no difference that the ones in the past, Rome, Egypt, Mayans and the Aztecs who achived technological superiority for their time and then self destructed or disappeared, we are headed in the same direction. Once again just my thoughts on it…….

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